base-graph-v1

Previously, we computed the BIC for unilateral models differing in their underlying graph definition. Among the best performing graphs was the one tested in extended-add21-add35-v1. For the base graph, tested in extended-base-v1 and this "winning graph", we are now doing an extended analysis on the basis of the log-evidence, computed using an expensive thermodynamic integration with 64 steps.

The investigated graph in this release is shown below:

The results of the comparison are tabulated below:

graph	log-evidence	$- \text{BIC} / 2$	max. llh
base-graph-v1 (this)	$-1209.89 \pm 1.77$	$-1210.27$	$-1181.87$
win-graph-v1	$-1206.77 \pm 2.0$	$-1208.24$	$-1170.38$